Early prediction and variable importance of certificate accomplishment in a MOOC
Ruipérez-Valiente, José A. · Cobos, Ruth · Muñoz-Merino, Pedro J. · Andujar, Álvaro · Kloos, Carlos Delgado

PublishedMay 2017
Conference5th European MOOCs Stakeholders Summit, EMOOCs 2017, Madrid, Spain, May 22-26, 2017, Digital Education: Out to the World and Back to the Campus
SeriesLecture Notes in Computer Science
Edition 1, Volume 10254, Pages 263-272
PublisherSpringer International Publishing
EditorsKloos, Carlos Delgado · Jermann, Patrick · Pérez-Sanagustín, Mar · Seaton, Daniel T. · White, Su
CountrySpain, Europe

ABSTRACT
The emergence of MOOCs (Massive Open Online Courses) makes available big amounts of data about students' interaction with online educational platforms. This allows for the possibility of making predictions about future learning outcomes of students based on these interactions. The prediction of certificate accomplishment can enable the early detection of students at risk, in order to perform interventions before it is too late. This study applies different machine learning techniques to predict which students are going to get a certificate during different timeframes. The purpose is to be able to analyze how the quality metrics change when the models have more data available. From the four machine learning techniques applied finally we choose a boosted trees model which provides stability in the prediction over the weeks with good quality metrics. We determine the variables that are most important for the prediction and how they change during the weeks of the course.

Keywords educational data mining · learning analytics · machine learning · MOOCs · prediction

Published atMadrid
ISBN978-3-319-59044-8
RefereedYes
Rights© Springer International Publishing AG 2017
DOI10.1007/978-3-319-59044-8_31
URLhttps://link.springer.com/chapter/10.1007/978-3-319-59044-8_31
Export optionsBibTex · EndNote · Tagged XML · Google Scholar


Viewed by 119 distinct readers




CLOUD COMMUNITY REVIEWS

The evaluations below represent the judgements of our readers and do not necessarily reflect the opinions of the Cloud editors.

Click a star to be the first to rate this document


POST A COMMENT
SIMILAR RECORDS

Effect of free certificate discontinuation in completion rates of MOOC
Despujol, Ignacio M.; Turró, Carlos; Castañeda, Linda; Busquets, Jaime; et al.
Completion rates have been a controversial topic since Massive Open Online Courses (MOOCs) became mainstream in 2012. In January 2016, based in previous trials, edx.org discontinued the free honor code certificate for ...
Match: kloos, carlos delgado; certificate; spain; europe

Recommendations for the design and deployment of MOOCs
Muñoz-Merino, Pedro J.; Alario-Hoyos, Carlos; Pérez-Sanagustín, Mar; Kloos, Carlos Delgado; García-Peñalvo, Francisco José
This paper reports the insights of the experience of designing and deploying the MOOC Digital Education of the Future, which was deployed in the platform MiríadaX in early 2013. This MOOC was delivered by several ...
Match: muoz-merino, pedro j.; kloos, carlos delgado; ; spain; europe

The EMMA experience. Emerging patterns and factors for success
De Rosa, Rosanna; Ferrari, Chiara; Kerr, Ruth; Kloos, Carlos Delgado; et al.
Since 2008, when the first experiment with MOOCs took place, much has been said, written and explored. However, almost ten years later we are unable to say whether MOOCs are really a desirable learning experience and, ...
Match: kloos, carlos delgado; learning analytics; spain; europe

Does gamification in MOOC discussion forums work?
Reischer, Matthias; Khalil, Mohammad; Ebner, Martin; Kloos, Carlos Delgado; et al.
Massive Open Online Courses (MOOCs) are a new form of learning environment aimed towards accessibility and openness using contemporary technologies. One of the MOOC's key features is the social interaction which usually ...
Match: kloos, carlos delgado; learning analytics; moocs; spain; europe

Understanding learners’ motivation and learning strategies in MOOCs
Alario-Hoyos, Carlos; Estévez-Ayres, Iria; Pérez-Sanagustín, Mar; Kloos, Carlos Delgado; Fernández-Panadero, Carmen
MOOCs (Massive Open Online Courses) have changed the way in which OER (Open Educational Resources) are bundled by teachers and consumed by learners. MOOCs represent an evolution towards the production and offering of ...
Match: kloos, carlos delgado; moocs

To change or not to change? That's the question... On MOOC-success, barriers and their implications
Henderikx, Maartje; Kreijns, Karel; Kalz, Marco; Kloos, Carlos Delgado; et al.
This explorative study aimed to get an understanding of MOOC-success as seen from the perspective of the MOOC-taker and the types of barriers which might stand in the way of this success. Data of two MOOCs was used to ...
Match: kloos, carlos delgado; moocs; spain; europe

Towards full engagement for open online education. A practical experience for a MicroMaster
Hernández, Rocael; Amado-Salvatierra, Hector R.; Kloos, Carlos Delgado; Jermann, Patrick; et al.
This work explores on the different phases of the student's participation in a MOOC. For this particular study three phases of a MOOC are defined: pre-MOOC, MOOC and post-MOOC. This work presents an innovative framework ...
Match: kloos, carlos delgado; spain; europe

MOOC quality evaluation system: Tomsk State University experience
Dyomin, Victor; Mozhaeva, Galina; Babanskaya, Olesya; Zakharova, Ulyana; et al.
E-learning development comes with an increased attention to its quality that is managed via the control over not only the learners' knowledge but over the learning process, its organization and applied tools. This paper ...
Match: kloos, carlos delgado; moocs; spain; europe

Towards E-presence at distance as a way to reach and share E-quality: The case of the ECO sMOOCs
Frau-Meigs, Divina; Bossu, Adeline; Kloos, Carlos Delgado; Jermann, Patrick; et al.
This paper presents an original approach to e-presence in social participatory MOOCs (or sMOOCs), taking the case of EU-funded ECO project on sMOOCs. First it considers the model for e-presence based on the different ...
Match: kloos, carlos delgado; spain; europe

The double classroom: Design patterns using MOOCs in teacher education
Nortvig, Anne-Mette; Gynther, Karsten; Kloos, Carlos Delgado; Jermann, Patrick; et al.
This paper presents findings from a study that used an archived MOOC as Open Educational Resources in teacher education in a hybrid learning setting. Using a design-based research approach created through collaboration ...
Match: kloos, carlos delgado; spain; europe